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Forecast and season...
 
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Questions Forecast and seasonality

 
Everything Else
Last Post by Tim Rodman 6 years ago
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VJW
Posts: 51
 VJW
Topic starter
July 27, 2018 8:05 am
(@vjw)
Trusted Member
Joined: 6 years ago

Hi

I have tried to find some information and examples using Replenishment forecast and seasonality in the Acumatica partner portal, but just find training that includes only the forecast, not seasonality. Does anyone here have some documentation with examples(use cases) on how the seasonality works in the Replenishment forecast? I'm specially interesting in how to set the Start and End dates in the seasonality, as I do not fully understand the logic behind it.

Let's say we do forecasting analyzing one month back and we calculate and apply the parameters the first day of each month. A example could be that we have a low season during July compared to June(in June we have normal purchase and sales) and then in August we have a high season compared to June. How should the seasonality be setup for this?


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Tim Rodman
Posts: 3204
 Tim Rodman
Admin
August 3, 2018 6:38 am
(@timrodman)
Famed Member
Joined: 11 years ago

Did you look at the Acumatica Distribution Intermediate D200 course? Not a whole lot of information, but if you search this PDF file for "seasonality" there are some bits of information:

https://openuni.acumatica.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/D200-Distribution-Intermediate-2017R2.pdf


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VJW
Posts: 51
 VJW
Topic starter
August 20, 2018 6:38 am
(@vjw)
Trusted Member
Joined: 6 years ago

Hi

Thanks for the reply! Yes, I have looked at it. But just wanted to see if anyone would have some "real life" use cases/customers where this has been used and how it has been setup, to get a better understanding=)


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Tim Rodman
Posts: 3204
 Tim Rodman
Admin
August 22, 2018 7:38 am
(@timrodman)
Famed Member
Joined: 11 years ago

Ah, I see. So it seems like the question is not about the formula, but about the "real world" ways to leverage the formula. Sorry, I wish I could be of help here.

Regarding the formula though, just wanted to point out this help article, specifically the section highlighted in the screenshot below:

https://help.acumatica.com/Main?ScreenId=ShowWiki&pageid=360c2e43-48a7-489e-9d4c-c680e491a147


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Carl Brooks
Posts: 121
 Carl Brooks
September 11, 2018 6:56 pm
(@kingcarlos)
Estimable Member
Joined: 6 years ago

The demand forecast model simply put works out your vendor lead time, daily sales demand and measures deviations on vendor lead times and daily sales deviations over the period you have determined to review. 

The seasonality factor is used as a multiplier to the average sales demand calculated.

The service level is simply a factor in working out what your safety stock should be.


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Tim Rodman reacted
Tim Rodman
Posts: 3204
 Tim Rodman
Admin
January 16, 2020 4:11 pm
(@timrodman)
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Joined: 11 years ago

I'm starting to take some notes on this as I go through the formula:

https://www.augforums.com/forums/acumatica-distribution-modules/demand-forecast-model-of-moving-average-my-notes/


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